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Red89
515229.2
523516.5
608122.9
Blue96
46821.2
49437.9
555930.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558902040801001201408996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#20
29.22.0
23.425.5
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End4.7
blue by 8.7
494
#4
37.91.0
38.739.6
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
6081
#29
22.92.0
21.323.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.7
End2.8
blue by 7.1
30.01.0
21.122.0
Auto8.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Third
5235
#38
16.52.0
13.715.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.9
End3.8
blue by 4.7
468
#30
21.21.0
21.922.9
Auto7.0
Teleop10.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed