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Red182
283443.3
6747.8
5128.1
Blue97
7037.7
438437.9
356825.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15012305010020025018297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
47.80.2
47.647.8
Auto9.3
Teleop26.1
End12.5
red by 9.9
37.90.6
38.538.0
Auto7.9
Teleop24.2
End5.8
Second
43.30.2
43.143.2
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
red by 5.5
70
#8
37.70.6
38.437.8
Auto14.4
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
51
#26
28.10.2
27.928.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.5
End4.4
red by 2.6
3568
#17
25.50.6
26.125.5
Auto6.2
Teleop14.8
End4.5