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Red118
353430.2
49439.2
608521.4
Blue100
370726.8
592626.2
520327.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11595406080140160180118100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
39.20.1
39.439.5
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End6.6
red by 11.8
5203
#28
27.40.0
26.826.8
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
Second
30.20.1
30.430.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.6
End9.3
red by 3.3
3707
#14
26.80.0
26.326.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Third
6085
#29
21.40.2
21.621.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 4.9
5926
#10
26.20.0
25.725.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End7.1