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Red45
577421.5
552711.6
606624.9
Blue65
557413.9
124323.8
592626.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5251304060704565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6066
#13
24.90.6
14.213.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 1.4
5926
#10
26.21.7
16.618.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End7.1
Second
5774
#22
21.50.6
20.720.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End2.9
blue by 2.3
1243
#16
23.81.7
17.118.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Third
5527
#34
11.60.6
15.615.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
blue by 2.4
5574
#40
13.91.7
16.217.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed