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Red83
553429.9
515531.2
551724.7
Blue48
260412.2
596325.1
607319.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724701001508348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#17
31.21.3
22.924.2
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End4.8
red by 6.1
5963
#18
25.111.9
27.415.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End6.5
Second
29.91.0
21.322.3
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
red by 10.2
6073
#25
19.78.2
23.715.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Third
5517
#27
24.71.3
21.723.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.8
red by 12.5
2604
#41
12.20.2
18.118.0
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed