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Red64
436233.4
475814.7
569719.8
Blue92
413032.8
523827.8
608637.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567701001506492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.7
27.428.1
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End4.7
blue by 4.5
37.81.4
28.930.3
Auto10.5
Teleop22.8
End4.6
Second
5697
#38
19.80.7
18.018.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
blue by 13.0
32.82.3
25.327.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Third
4758
#35
14.70.4
11.912.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.1
blue by 13.1
5238
#12
27.82.3
17.219.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed