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Red76
168436.3
596325.1
515531.2
Blue97
49439.2
436233.4
606624.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6771506080907697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.1
28.729.8
Auto7.7
Teleop24.2
End4.4
blue by 2.9
494
#1
39.23.1
30.733.8
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End6.6
Second
5155
#17
31.21.1
22.824.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End4.8
blue by 2.2
33.43.1
25.728.9
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Third
5963
#18
25.11.1
14.415.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End6.5
red by 0.2
6066
#13
24.93.1
12.415.6
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed