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Red64
571316.6
606624.9
150628.5
Blue78
520327.4
504633.0
370726.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52622030407080906478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
28.51.3
23.424.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End4.0
blue by 4.5
33.02.1
26.929.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
6066
#13
24.91.3
15.616.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
blue by 2.5
5203
#28
27.42.1
13.916.0
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
Third
5713
#32
16.61.3
13.314.6
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 10.3
3707
#14
26.82.1
18.020.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed