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Red70
522621.3
596325.1
81821.1
Blue40
438020.4
260412.2
233728.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4869204060801007040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5963
#18
25.11.7
15.517.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.7
End6.5
blue by 3.7
2337
#15
28.82.7
31.028.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.5
Second
5226
#24
21.31.0
17.418.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End4.4
red by 0.9
4380
#20
20.42.7
17.815.1
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.9
Third
818
#31
21.11.7
16.718.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End2.1
red by 9.0
2604
#41
12.22.7
15.312.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed