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Red80
577421.5
553429.9
520327.4
Blue77
436233.4
438020.4
168436.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657840601001208077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.0
26.027.0
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
blue by 6.3
36.30.3
29.329.6
Auto7.7
Teleop24.2
End4.4
Second
5203
#28
27.41.7
16.017.7
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 6.0
33.40.3
29.730.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Third
5774
#22
21.51.7
22.824.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End2.9
red by 1.1
4380
#20
20.40.3
15.115.5
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed