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Red67
571316.6
551724.7
504633.0
Blue88
606624.9
124323.8
553429.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7271556065758085906788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.3
33.032.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 3.0
29.91.2
27.328.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Second
5517
#27
24.70.3
21.621.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.8
blue by 0.2
6066
#13
24.91.8
21.423.2
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Third
5713
#32
16.60.3
15.415.1
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End2.0
blue by 7.2
1243
#16
23.81.8
20.922.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed