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Red95
606624.9
523827.8
592626.2
Blue64
522621.3
413032.8
260412.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5965203040507080901009564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#12
27.82.8
22.224.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
blue by 5.0
32.80.4
29.929.5
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Second
5926
#10
26.22.8
18.120.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End7.1
red by 5.0
5226
#24
21.30.2
18.818.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End4.4
Third
6066
#13
24.93.0
18.021.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
red by 12.7
2604
#41
12.20.4
13.813.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed