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Red103
49439.2
557413.9
504633.0
Blue75
436233.4
233728.8
496117.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8877406010012014010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
39.22.0
36.238.2
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End6.6
red by 5.8
33.40.2
30.029.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Second
33.02.0
30.933.0
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 4.1
2337
#15
28.80.2
28.528.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.5
Third
5574
#40
13.92.0
16.418.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End2.9
blue by 3.7
4961
#39
17.60.1
18.117.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed