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Red44
577421.5
557413.9
525120.3
Blue96
413032.8
570417.7
551724.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61702040801004496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5774
#22
21.52.1
21.619.5
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End2.9
blue by 11.3
32.81.9
29.531.4
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Second
5251
#26
20.31.4
20.719.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End2.9
blue by 4.3
5517
#27
24.71.7
21.323.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
5574
#40
13.92.1
18.416.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End2.9
blue by 3.8
5704
#36
17.71.9
16.017.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed