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Red60
233728.8
475814.7
504633.0
Blue82
520118.6
525120.3
413032.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786840601001206082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.01.2
33.131.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 0.2
32.80.4
31.932.2
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Second
2337
#15
28.81.3
26.925.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.5
red by 8.5
5251
#26
20.30.3
19.219.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End2.9
Third
4758
#35
14.71.0
14.513.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.1
blue by 3.9
5201
#21
18.60.4
16.516.9
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed