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Red70
260412.2
577421.5
436233.4
Blue55
520118.6
31427.9
475814.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67632040801007055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.5
27.226.7
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End4.7
red by 5.5
314
#19
27.91.3
31.129.8
Auto4.9
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
5774
#22
21.50.5
19.519.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End2.9
red by 2.8
5201
#21
18.61.3
18.116.8
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Third
2604
#41
12.20.5
18.017.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 2.5
4758
#35
14.70.8
12.411.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed