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Red103
608637.8
553429.9
496117.6
Blue116
370726.8
592626.2
520327.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1089350150200103116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
38.037.8
Auto10.5
Teleop22.8
End4.6
red by 10.4
5203
#28
27.40.3
26.026.3
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
Second
29.90.2
30.129.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
red by 3.1
3707
#14
26.80.3
25.425.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Third
4961
#39
17.60.2
17.817.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 8.6
5926
#10
26.20.3
24.825.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End7.1