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Red213
277147.3
335748.2
440926.1
Blue141
90431.8
357237.8
600232.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163109050200250300213141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.8
48.549.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 10.4
37.80.5
37.337.8
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
Second
47.30.8
47.648.4
Auto8.8
Teleop35.2
End3.3
red by 15.3
6002
#19
32.00.5
31.632.0
Auto5.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
Third
4409
#17
26.10.8
26.427.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End5.3
blue by 5.8
904
#18
31.80.5
31.431.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6