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Red102
205439.9
496742.5
481934.3
Blue137
323426.7
432535.7
609029.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14811150200250102137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.50.3
41.441.1
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
red by 6.8
35.70.0
36.236.2
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Second
2054
#20
39.90.3
38.738.5
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 10.2
6090
#15
29.70.0
30.230.2
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
4819
#23
34.30.3
33.232.9
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
red by 7.7
3234
#13
26.70.0
27.227.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.0