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Red115
207528.3
611427.9
516238.9
Blue98
433719.5
524625.6
276744.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510120406012014016011598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.92.2
26.829.1
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End9.4
blue by 5.9
44.80.2
41.541.8
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Second
2075
#25
28.32.2
26.128.3
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
red by 2.7
5246
#37
25.60.2
27.127.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Third
27.92.2
23.625.8
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 8.4
4337
#29
19.50.2
25.726.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned