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Red48
194025.6
613818.2
600513.1
Blue80
432535.7
525624.9
167718.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517902040601001201404880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1940
#26
25.60.7
20.219.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End3.7
blue by 10.0
35.70.5
30.731.2
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Second
6138
#31
18.20.7
20.519.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.6
blue by 6.7
5256
#10
24.90.5
23.824.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Third
6005
#35
13.11.2
12.711.6
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 5.5
1677
#30
18.70.5
17.718.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed