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Red86
433719.5
345816.8
323426.7
Blue78
574527.6
357237.8
600513.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527702040601001201408678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#13
26.72.9
21.724.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.0
blue by 11.1
37.80.4
33.934.4
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
Second
4337
#29
19.51.8
22.924.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 8.1
5745
#16
27.60.4
23.023.4
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Third
3458
#33
16.81.8
10.011.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
red by 3.7
6005
#35
13.10.7
14.615.3
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed