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Red105
207528.3
357237.8
610223.8
Blue109
335748.2
524625.6
432535.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80108204060100120140160105109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.81.5
33.535.0
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
blue by 10.4
48.20.5
41.842.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Second
2075
#25
28.31.5
28.129.6
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
blue by 7.4
35.70.5
32.533.1
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Third
6102
#34
23.81.5
20.321.8
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End2.4
blue by 1.7
5246
#37
25.60.5
26.827.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned4%Capture oddsMissed