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Red85
547033.7
524625.6
600232.0
Blue101
592720.7
362052.4
433719.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9689020030040050085101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5470
#14
33.70.8
32.531.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.7
End8.0
blue by 18.7
52.40.9
45.446.3
Auto10.5
Teleop35.4
End6.4
Second
6002
#19
32.00.8
31.530.7
Auto5.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
red by 11.4
5927
#27
20.71.0
17.918.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Third
5246
#37
25.60.8
28.427.5
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
red by 6.1
4337
#29
19.50.9
24.725.6
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned