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Red81
247435.6
611427.9
610223.8
Blue57
205439.9
613818.2
90431.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85980501508157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#12
35.60.5
34.934.3
Auto9.6
Teleop20.5
End5.5
blue by 4.3
2054
#20
39.92.4
40.237.8
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
27.90.5
26.826.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
blue by 3.9
904
#18
31.82.4
33.731.3
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6
Third
6102
#34
23.80.5
22.421.9
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End2.4
red by 5.7
6138
#31
18.22.4
19.216.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed