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Red68
440926.1
345816.8
194025.6
Blue88
562222.6
524625.6
207528.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618320401001201406888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4409
#17
26.10.4
23.924.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End5.3
blue by 2.2
2075
#25
28.30.0
28.628.6
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
Second
1940
#26
25.60.4
24.524.8
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End3.7
red by 0.1
5246
#37
25.60.0
26.926.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
Third
3458
#33
16.80.4
14.314.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 5.8
5622
#22
22.60.0
22.222.2
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed