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Red81
609029.7
90431.8
525624.9
Blue147
432535.7
277147.3
496742.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85129406010012014016018081147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#18
31.80.5
31.330.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6
blue by 15.5
47.31.6
44.846.3
Auto8.8
Teleop35.2
End3.3
Second
6090
#15
29.70.5
30.429.8
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 12.8
42.51.6
39.541.0
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
Third
5256
#10
24.90.5
27.226.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
blue by 10.8
35.71.6
34.335.8
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned98%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
6%Capture oddsMissed23%Capture oddsEarned