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Red83
365631.3
546030.6
608121.7
Blue106
7030.3
438436.1
508423.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311440608014016018083106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.0
31.431.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End6.3
blue by 4.7
36.10.2
36.336.1
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End5.9
Second
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End7.2
red by 0.3
70
#6
30.30.2
30.530.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Third
6081
#21
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 1.8
5084
#25
23.50.2
23.723.5
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End3.5