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Red156
511437.5
515032.7
523414.7
Blue123
566016.2
505325.5
550925.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1107650100150156123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.50.6
37.237.8
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
red by 11.8
5509
#22
25.70.8
24.825.7
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Second
32.70.6
32.433.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
red by 7.2
5053
#11
25.50.8
24.725.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End4.8
Third
5234
#37
14.70.6
14.415.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End1.4
blue by 1.5
5660
#29
16.20.8
15.316.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6