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Red52
505621.7
548720.1
515032.7
Blue35
525116.7
437626.5
569412.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594702040801005235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.4
18.818.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
red by 6.2
26.51.4
18.917.5
Auto8.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Second
5056
#24
21.70.4
19.118.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End3.3
red by 5.0
5251
#15
16.71.4
15.213.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
5487
#28
20.10.4
17.417.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End3.1
red by 7.8
5694
#34DQ
12.41.4
13.312.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed