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Red54
546215.5
126.5
564118.5
Blue22
505621.7
499812.6
569412.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49450204060805422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
#18
26.50.8
19.420.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End4.5
red by 4.8
5056
#24
21.73.0
18.715.7
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End3.3
Second
5641
#33
18.50.8
15.015.7
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End2.4
red by 6.0
4998
#40
12.63.0
13.410.4
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
Third
5462
#31
15.50.8
12.813.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 3.1
5694
#34DQ
12.43.0
12.08.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed33%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed