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Red35
132217.8
523512.6
608628.9
Blue67
437626.5
46821.7
365631.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4357020801001203567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.0
16.715.7
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End2.7
blue by 2.4
31.31.6
24.225.8
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End6.3
Second
1322
#30
17.81.0
14.813.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.2
End1.9
blue by 8.7
26.51.6
17.519.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Third
5235
#26
12.61.0
12.211.2
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 9.0
468
#32
21.71.6
11.212.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed