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Red37
511437.5
608121.7
523512.6
Blue60
126.5
561225.4
608628.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51612040801003760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.6
25.223.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
red by 8.6
28.90.3
18.719.0
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Second
6081
#21
21.71.6
15.113.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 4.8
1
#18
26.50.3
20.120.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.9
End4.5
Third
5235
#26
12.61.6
11.09.4
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 12.8
5612
#13
25.40.3
18.719.0
Auto9.7
Teleop11.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed