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Red29
499812.6
525116.7
523512.6
Blue75
356820.6
505325.5
365631.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497402040601001201401602975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5251
#15
16.72.5
17.715.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.6
End3.0
blue by 14.7
31.31.5
25.524.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.6
End6.3
Second
5235
#26
12.62.5
16.814.3
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 12.9
5053
#11
25.51.5
24.022.5
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End4.8
Third
4998
#40
12.62.5
16.814.3
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
blue by 8.0
3568
#19
20.61.5
18.917.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed50%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed