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Red74
578421.2
552425.7
506726.5
Blue72
356820.6
564118.5
511437.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53622040801007472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.52.4
16.618.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End4.9
blue by 11.0
37.51.4
23.925.3
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
Second
5524
#12
25.72.4
20.623.0
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End4.3
red by 5.2
3568
#19
20.61.4
19.621.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.2
End3.2
Third
5784
#27
21.22.4
15.417.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.9
red by 2.7
5641
#33
18.51.4
15.617.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed