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Red61
548720.1
546030.6
550224.1
Blue37
556122.1
505621.7
499420.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6752204060801006137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.3
28.427.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End7.2
red by 8.5
5561
#16
22.11.7
17.315.6
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End4.0
Second
5502
#17
24.11.3
16.715.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End7.4
red by 2.5
5056
#24
21.71.7
17.615.9
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End3.3
Third
5487
#28
20.11.3
17.716.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End3.1
blue by 0.4
4994
#23
20.61.7
17.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed