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Red43
508423.5
523512.6
46821.7
Blue94
505621.7
511437.5
353531.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3578020601001204394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5084
#25
23.50.3
18.819.1
Auto5.3
Teleop14.7
End3.5
blue by 14.0
37.52.7
25.328.0
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
Second
468
#32
21.70.3
13.413.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
blue by 10.2
3535
#10
31.92.7
28.230.9
Auto10.5
Teleop16.5
End4.9
Third
5235
#26
12.60.3
8.38.6
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 9.0
5056
#24
21.72.7
15.918.6
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed