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Red77
499812.6
608121.7
89426.0
Blue67
548720.1
561225.4
578421.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466002040801007767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#14
26.02.6
19.522.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.1
End2.6
red by 0.6
5612
#13
25.41.1
20.321.5
Auto9.7
Teleop11.5
End4.1
Second
6081
#21
21.72.6
17.319.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
red by 0.5
5784
#27
21.21.1
18.920.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.9
Third
4998
#40
12.62.6
10.312.8
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
blue by 7.6
5487
#28
20.11.1
16.818.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed