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Red53
499812.6
546030.6
566016.2
Blue81
515032.7
518313.8
608628.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5373204060801001201405381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.2
28.728.5
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End7.2
blue by 2.1
32.71.3
29.330.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
Second
5660
#29
16.20.2
13.213.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 12.7
28.91.3
25.326.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.4
End2.7
Third
4998
#40
12.60.2
12.812.7
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
blue by 1.2
5183
#36
13.81.3
13.014.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed