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Red74
550925.7
564118.5
506726.5
Blue80
46821.7
515032.7
561225.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68752040601001201407480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.6
22.823.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End4.9
blue by 6.2
32.70.7
30.531.3
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
Second
5509
#22
25.70.6
24.625.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
red by 0.3
5612
#13
25.40.7
22.122.8
Auto9.7
Teleop11.5
End4.1
Third
5641
#33
18.50.6
19.720.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End2.4
blue by 3.1
468
#32
21.70.7
19.119.9
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed