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Red54
499420.6
553816.4
552425.7
Blue92
506726.5
511437.5
569412.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62702040801001201405492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5524
#12
25.70.6
25.224.6
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End4.3
blue by 11.7
37.52.0
34.136.1
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
Second
4994
#23
20.60.6
19.018.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 5.9
26.52.0
23.425.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Third
5538
#38
16.40.6
17.216.6
Auto2.5
Teleop12.1
End1.8
red by 4.1
5694
#34
12.42.0
9.611.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed