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Red60
608121.7
606719.7
578421.2
Blue73
546215.5
523512.6
515032.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68572040801001206073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#21
21.70.3
20.920.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 11.0
32.70.9
31.332.2
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
Second
5784
#27
21.20.3
21.821.4
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.9
red by 5.7
5462
#31
15.50.9
13.714.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
6067
#20
19.70.3
21.421.1
Auto7.7
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 7.0
5235
#26
12.60.9
11.912.8
Auto2.0
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed