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Red65
578421.2
505621.7
566016.2
Blue79
32215.3
608121.7
506726.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60622040801001206579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5056
#24
21.70.3
21.221.0
Auto3.1
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 4.8
26.51.4
25.426.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Second
5784
#27
21.20.3
21.421.2
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End3.9
blue by 0.5
6081
#21
21.71.4
20.522.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Third
5660
#29
16.20.3
15.815.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.9
End1.6
red by 0.9
322
#35
15.31.4
13.915.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed