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Red82
515032.7
505325.5
550925.7
Blue92
511437.5
546030.6
546215.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858340601001201408292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.0
32.232.2
Auto6.2
Teleop21.0
End5.5
blue by 4.8
37.50.8
36.136.9
Auto8.4
Teleop23.1
End6.0
Second
5509
#22
25.70.0
25.125.1
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 4.9
30.60.8
30.030.9
Auto8.9
Teleop14.5
End7.2
Third
5053
#11
25.50.0
24.924.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.5
End4.8
red by 10.0
5462
#31
15.50.8
14.615.5
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed