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Red160
283440.4
8538.8
546220.7
Blue122
598032.1
519424.4
365826.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1249650150200160122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.40.4
39.840.2
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 8.3
5980
#10
32.10.3
32.232.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End7.2
Second
85
#1
38.80.4
38.238.6
Auto9.3
Teleop24.6
End5.0
red by 11.9
3658
#17
26.90.3
27.127.4
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
Third
5462
#18
20.70.4
20.120.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.3
End3.9
blue by 3.7
24.40.3
24.524.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8