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Red98
365632.9
261233.2
567416.1
Blue101
85726.4
258626.9
567528.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031049010011012013098101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.20.1
33.333.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.4
End6.3
red by 4.5
5675
#16
28.60.0
28.228.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Second
32.90.1
33.032.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.5
End5.5
red by 6.0
2586
#12
26.90.0
26.526.5
Auto6.7
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Third
5674
#29
16.10.1
16.216.1
Auto1.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 10.3
857
#13
26.40.0
26.126.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.7
End4.3