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Red99
571025.2
438129.0
440819.4
Blue107
598032.1
519424.4
365826.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9197608012014099107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.1
28.628.8
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
blue by 3.1
5980
#10
32.10.2
30.831.0
Auto11.2
Teleop13.7
End7.2
Second
25.20.1
24.925.0
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End5.1
blue by 1.7
3658
#17
26.90.2
25.725.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.4
End3.7
Third
4408
#21
19.40.1
19.119.2
Auto0.9
Teleop13.8
End4.7
blue by 5.0
24.40.2
23.123.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.9
End3.8