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Red50
448218.6
261233.2
550122.6
Blue51
445327.9
125414.9
548624.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67460204060801005051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.21.9
23.922.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.4
End6.3
red by 5.2
27.90.2
17.317.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Second
5501
#37
22.61.9
18.216.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.6
End5.0
blue by 1.5
5486
#23
24.10.2
16.816.6
Auto4.7
Teleop14.4
End5.0
Third
4482
#26
18.61.9
20.018.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
red by 3.7
1254
#28
14.90.2
14.013.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed