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Red37
571025.2
515222.8
611916.6
Blue82
567528.6
445327.9
438129.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51592040801003782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.5
21.419.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.4
End5.1
blue by 3.7
29.01.8
21.823.6
Auto6.8
Teleop18.5
End3.6
Second
5152
#25
22.81.5
18.817.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
blue by 5.8
5675
#16
28.61.8
16.918.7
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
Third
6119
#27
16.61.5
10.59.0
Auto1.9
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 11.3
27.91.8
17.118.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed