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Red45
448218.6
60539.3
283440.4
Blue54
516118.3
107627.7
620819.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67270204060801001204554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.6
28.426.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.0
End7.2
red by 12.7
27.72.4
10.713.1
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Second
4482
#26
18.61.6
18.116.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.4
End3.5
blue by 0.9
6208
#20
19.52.4
11.113.5
Auto6.5
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Third
6053
#38
9.31.6
12.711.1
Auto1.4
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 9.0
5161
#32
18.32.4
10.713.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed23%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed